India’s fiscal deficit would look ugly in the current year but how much of this ugliness is just math is an important consideration for policymakers and even rating agencies.
That is because the optical discomfort on the number should be looked through given that it is purely an outcome of the pandemic.
The covid-19 pandemic resulted in a 55-day lockdown which has now been extended further to two more weeks. During the lockdown, there was no economic activity beyond the essentials in most parts of the country.
To be sure, the latest two extensions in the lockdown was accompanied by relaxations. Therefore, economic activity has resumed in tranches but is yet to reach the level seen in normal times.