The US had fewer than 70 cases of COVID-19, the respiratory disease caused by the novel coronavirus SAR-COV-2, on 1 March. Just two weeks later, the total case count has increased to over 5,000 cases.

If we continue the exponential increase in the US since the beginning of March, we could be looking at over 228,000 confirmed cases by the end of the month.

The infections are growing at an exponential rate in a population that has never been previously exposed to the virus. GlobalData constructed three outbreak scenarios based on consensus low, moderate, and high growth rates.

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United States	Cases: 46 252 513 Deaths: 750 423 Recovered: 0
India	Cases: 34 321 025 Deaths: 459 652 Recovered: 0
Brazil	Cases: 21 835 785 Deaths: 608 235 Recovered: 0
United Kingdom	Cases: 9 215 683 Deaths: 141 607 Recovered: 0
Russia	Cases: 8 494 589 Deaths: 237 619 Recovered: 0

US could see more than 228,000 COVID-19 cases by end of March

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