MUMBAI : "After the rain, the sun will reappear. There is life," Walt Disney once said. In these uncertain times, the India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) first stage of forecast on the monsoon gives that kind of hope.
The agency predicts normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon season. It said that quantitatively, rainfall during the monsoon season that officially starts in June and lasts till September is likely to be 100% of the long period average (LPA) with a model error of 5%.
The IMD has ascribed 71% probability collectively to normal (41%), above-normal (21%) and excess rainfall (9%). “The forecast of a normal rainfall this year means there is definitely one less problem to worry about," says Sudha Narayanan, associate