The study by Maryla Maliszewska of the World Bank and other authors consider two scenarios. The novel coronavirus shock could reduce global exports by 4.6% and global gross domestic product (GDP) by 3.9%, according to a study published by the World Bank.
The study by Maryla Maliszewska of the World Bank and other authors consider two scenarios. First, a global pandemic where all countries are assumed to bear 50% of the shock felt by China.
Second, an amplified global pandemic where the economic shock for the rest of the world is prolonged. In estimating the hit to trade and output, the study examines four different shocks: A small reduction in labour supply, a significant rise in trade costs, falling tourism, and a shift in household
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