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Full ICUs amid COVID surges could lead to thousands of extra deaths

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A modeling study today in Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report estimates that 12,000 more people die 2 weeks after US hospitals reach 75% adult intensive care unit (ICU) occupancy amid COVID-19 pandemic surges, a figure that rises to 80,000 when ICUs are full—which is the case now in many hospitals in multiple US states.Researchers from the US Department of Homeland Security's Cybersecurity & Infrastructure Security Agency COVID Task Force evaluated the relationship between overwhelmed hospitals and excess deaths from Jul 4, 2020, to Jul 10, 2021.

The end of the study period included the emergence and eventual dominance of the more transmissible Delta (B1617.2) variant.The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) provided data on

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COVID-19
United States
United States
Cases: 46 252 513
Deaths: 750 423
Recovered: 0
India
India
Cases: 34 321 025
Deaths: 459 652
Recovered: 0
Brazil
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Cases: 21 835 785
Deaths: 608 235
Recovered: 0
United Kingdom
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Deaths: 141 607
Recovered: 0
Russia
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Deaths: 237 619
Recovered: 0
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