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India's COVID-19 cases have declined rapidly—but herd immunity is still far away, scientists say

India city Mumbai covid-19 death testing infection
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Vaishnavi ChandrashekharScience’s COVID-19 reporting is supported by the Pulitzer Center and the Heising-Simons Foundation.MUMBAI—Last week, a panel of leading scientists appointed by the Indian government delivered a startlingly optimistic message: The world’s second largest COVID-19 epidemic has rounded a corner.

India’s daily number of daily new cases has almost halved the past six weeks, and a new mathematical model suggests “we may have reached herd immunity,” some members of the panel wrote in a paper published online by The Indian Journal of Medical Research.

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COVID-19
United States
United States
Cases: 46 252 513
Deaths: 750 423
Recovered: 0
India
India
Cases: 34 321 025
Deaths: 459 652
Recovered: 0
Brazil
Brazil
Cases: 21 835 785
Deaths: 608 235
Recovered: 0
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
Cases: 9 215 683
Deaths: 141 607
Recovered: 0
Russia
Russia
Cases: 8 494 589
Deaths: 237 619
Recovered: 0
Detail statistic
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