pic.twitter.com/ECNLGgWjLs Last month, the model suggested that the third wave could peak between October and November and the daily cases could shoot between 1.5 lakh to 2 lakh every day if a more virulent mutant of SARS-CoV2 drive fresh infections.
However, no mutant that was more infectious than the Delta, which drove the infections during the third wave, emerged. Last week's forecast was the same, but only the range of daily cases has been brought down to 1-1.5 lakh in the latest one.
With the fresh data, the daily infections are further expected to drop in the range of a lakh. Agrawal said the fresh data comprising the vaccinations that have taken place in July and August, the sero-surveys that gave insights about the anti-bodies