tool to estimate people’s death risk due to covid-19 over the next one year. For this purpose, the tool uses electronic health records of over 3,800,000 individuals in England and takes into account pre-existing medical conditions.In the study, Amitava Banerjee and other researchers use 20-year records of people above the age of 30.
The authors find that over 20% had at least one high-risk condition, while 10% had multiple health conditions.The “risk calculator" determines the chances of death in the next one year based on such background information of each individual.
It then calculates excess risk of dying due to covid-19 at different infection rates and response strategies.Without covid-19, the study estimates a one-year mortality rate.