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COMMENTARY: COVID-19 ended Trump’s presidency after one term — and here’s why

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globalnews.ca

Our study examining the effect of COVID-19 cases on county-level voting in the United States shows that the pandemic led to Trump’s defeat on Nov.

3. Republican White House hopefuls wait to see Trump’s next move Our analysis suggests that, all things being equal, Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been between five and 10 per cent lower.

In particular, Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — which President-elect Joe Biden won by a slim margin — would have remained red if cases had been five per cent lower.Trump would have also added Michigan to this list if cases had been 10 per cent lower.This finding is at odds with some initial news analyses that indicated regions with the worst COVID-19 outbreaks.

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