India covid-19 2020 Government travelers India

Covid-19: Risks to short-term and long-term Indian economic outlook

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Forecast ScenarioGovernment deficit does increase and the counterpart is that the household surplus increases too.

Higher government borrowing (by approximately 39%) is being matched by higher private saving (by approximately 30%), so it is being financed by borrowing from those who are unable to spend.

The national balance sheet is therefore, largely unscathed. Nevertheless, a number of things have changed over the last few months and some have been comparatively good.

The inflation rate has fallen and the lockdown measure have been progressively eased. In terms of numbers, GDP per capita during Q1 2020 based on data from Ministry of Statistics, Govt.

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