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COVID 3rd wave will be 'ripple' in absence of faster spreading mutant: IIT Kanpur study

India city Kanpur covid-19 Waves Ripple
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Three scenarios of third COVID wave First: The third wave will be a ripple. If there is no significantly faster-spreading mutant, the third wave will be a ripple and if there is such a mutant, the third wave will be comparable to the first one, Agarwal said. "The optimistic one - where we assume that life goes back to normal by August, and there is no new mutant." Second: The intermediate one - where we assume that vaccination is 20 per cent less effective in addition to optimistic scenario assumptions, he points out Third: The pessimistic one - This has an assumption different from the intermediate one.

A new 25 per cent more infectious mutant spreads in August, Agarwal added. As per the Sutra model, if there is an immunity escape

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COVID-19
United States
United States
Cases: 46 252 513
Deaths: 750 423
Recovered: 0
India
India
Cases: 34 321 025
Deaths: 459 652
Recovered: 0
Brazil
Brazil
Cases: 21 835 785
Deaths: 608 235
Recovered: 0
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
Cases: 9 215 683
Deaths: 141 607
Recovered: 0
Russia
Russia
Cases: 8 494 589
Deaths: 237 619
Recovered: 0
Detail statistic
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