Dutch models of COVID-19 are designed to help prevent overloading of hospitals and the need to transfer patients. By Martin Enserink, Kai KupferschmidtJacco Wallinga’s computer simulations are about to face a high-stakes reality check.
Wallinga is a mathematician and the chief epidemic modeler at the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), which is advising the Dutch government on what actions, such as closing schools and businesses, will help control the spread of the novel coronavirus in the country.The Netherlands has so far chosen a softer set of measures than most Western European countries; it was late to close its schools and restaurants and hasn’t ordered a full lockdown.
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