₹6 trillion during Q1 FY22, as compared to a loss of ₹11 trillion in Q1 FY21.“Real GDP loss would be in the range of ₹4-4.5 trillion and hence real GDP growth would be in the range of 10% -15% (as against the Reserve Bank of India’s forecast of 26.2%) in Q1FY21.
However, we believe that in this wave, our health crisis has overwhelmed us and, hence, the impact on GDP in the second wave will be more from the health channel than the mobility channel.
Sequential momentum of leading indicators is at an all-time low," it added.The prime minister pointed out that over the last year, there have been many noteworthy changes as well.“We now have a better understanding of the pandemic, which strengthens our strategy to fight it.