MUMBAI: Financial stocks have been one of the worst hit in recent tines as the covid-19 pandemic has not only snuffed out potential balance sheet growth but also increased the risk of delinquencies.
The narrative around capital has returned with this and as in the past, public sector banks would be the hardest hit this time as well.
Credit Suisse estimates that in all Indian banks would need $20 billion of capital to absorb the hit from the pandemic. "Private banks’ Tier 1 at 13% is adequate to absorb up to 5% of loans turning into NPLs.
However, with 20-40% of loans under moratorium and uncertainty on the economic impact, we expect most banks to raise further capital.