projected to surpass 200,000 by October 1, according to data from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IMHE) at the University of Washington.The latest IMHE projected death count is a sharp rise from the June 10 forecast, which estimated that deaths could reach 169,890 in the U.S.
by early October.“These predictions are based on our current knowledge of COVID-19 and key drivers in the U.S., as well as some model parameter updates to inform estimates beyond August (e.g., resumption of in-person instruction at previously closed educational facilities),” the IMHE said in its June 10 update.