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What is the economic cost of an extended covid-19 lockdown?

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With Indians having to stay at home until 3 May to flatten the covid-19 infection, the economic cost of this social distancing continues to surge.

The fact that a lockdown curtails economic activity is evident, which means the longer the lockdown, the greater the economic cost.

But some economists now believe that the per week cost of a lockdown is higher than what they had previously estimated. Economists at Barclays Research said in a 14 April note that the loss of output due to shuttered factories and closed offices works out to about $26 billion per week.

This is far higher than the $16.6 billion it had estimated on 24 March, when the lockdown was first announced. As a result, they now expect the overall hit on the economy to be $234.4

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