Two Indian-origin researchers from the University of Cambridge in the UK have come up with a new mathematical model that predicts a flat 49-day nationwide lockdown -- or sustained lockdown with periodic relaxation extending over two months -- may be necessary to prevent COVID-19 resurgence in India.
The paper by Ronojoy Adhikari in collaboration with Rajesh Singh from the Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics at the university shows that the 21-day lockdown that the India government has imposed is unlikely to be effective and 'there will be a resurgence of COVID-19 at the end of it'.
The model is possibly the first to include 'age and social contact structure of the Indian population' when assessing the impact of social