Complete shutdowns can also be dangerous and this needs to be acknowledged around the world India’s official response to Covid-19 is in line with conventional wisdom.
It is too soon to tell if the lockdown was the right decision. That said, I would like to channel the late Swedish physician Hans Rosling here: He likened listening to epidemiologists on disease projections to long jumpers getting to measure and report their long jumps.
Incentivized to exaggerate. In the UK, Neil Ferguson has backtracked from half a million deaths to 20,000 deaths, and is unwilling to admit he had overstated the case.
A theoretical epidemiologist and her group at Oxford University published a study that says half the UK population might already be infected