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The models behind NPHET's concern about Covid-19 surge

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What exactly will NPHET modellers be looking at as they consider tighter Covid-19 restrictions in the coming days? With detected cases of Covid-19 rising sharply in recent days, the Cabinet is due to meet on Tuesday to decide on what sort of restrictions will be imposed after Christmas – and exactly when they will come into force.

By now, we've all heard the refrain that NPHET advises and the government decides. But Minister for Health Stephen Donnelly said on Sunday that we needed to do everything we could to ensure that hospitals were protected.

And when it comes to protecting our health system, the reasoning from NPHET is nearly always reliant on the now-infamous models.

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Southern Ontario highway partially closed due to convoy demonstrations: police
convoy demonstrations against COVID-19 measures.Police said the westbound lanes of the highway at Nauvoo Road have been shut down due to “high traffic volumes” from “freedom convoy” demonstrators.Drivers in the area are being asked to follow emergency detour route signage. Windsor-Detroit Ambassador Bridge access resumes after trucker protest blocked traffic “The OPP respects the right of everyone to freedom of expression and peaceful assembly,” police said.“The OPP asks everyone to be patient and respectful of each other despite potential inconvenience.”The closure is approximately 45 km away from the Blue Water Bridge crossing between Canada and the United States in Sarnia, Ont.It’s not clear if that’s where convoy demonstrators are intending to go.Part of Highway 402 was blocked on Sunday as well due to convoy demonstrations. Police have redirected commercial traffic to the Bluewater Bridge in Sarnia, Ont., and urged motorists to avoid the area around the Ambassador Bridge in Windsor, Ont.There, a protest against COVID-19 measures is blocking Canada-bound vehicles from crossing the Ambassador Bridge between Windsor, Ont., and Detroit for a third day.More to come.— With files from The Canadian Press#LambtonOPP have implemented a closure of westbound Highway 402 at Nauvoo Road to ensure public safety.
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