India pandemic Government crisis India

Who’s afraid of ratings agencies?

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Last week, Fitch Ratings cut India’s GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal year to a mere 0.8%, as the stringent lockdown measures to contain the covid pandemic brought economic activity to a halt.

Early this month, the global credit rating agency had warned of a rapid deterioration in the ability of countries to repay their debts.

It’s not just Fitch. Various global agencies that evaluate credit quality seem ready to rate sovereign debt downwards as governments see their revenues drop and spending needs rise, enlarging deficits and requiring greater national debt.

Many would need to expand borrowings even more for stimulus programmes to deal with the current crisis. Should India worry about a potential downgrade?

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