In some states/districts, curbs on gatherings, public transport, opening of malls, hotels, schools should continue NEW DELHI : India scores high on a stringency index that has been developed to gauge cross-country government responses to covid-19.
The slope of India’s case growth curve is flatter than some countries, but steeper than others. Ten states account for around 81% of cases.
More than 80% of cases reported positive are in 62 districts, almost reminiscent of Pareto’s 80/20 rule. There has been no community transmission yet.
As models go, subject to their assumptions and impact of heat/humidity/herd immunity, India’s peak might be in June/July, with a final tapering in September.