Forget the word recession. As the coronavirus health emergency shuts down part of Canada’s economy, experts are dusting off a word that’s been relinquished to the history books for nearly a century: depression. “This isn’t business as usual, even for a recession,” starts a recent report from CIBC’s economics team, for example.
The paper predicts Canada’s GDP could contract by an annualized 15 to 20 per cent in the April-to-June period in inflation-adjusted terms.
The unemployment rate, meanwhile, could shoot up to nine per cent, up from a reading of 5.6 per cent in February. That isn’t the stuff of your run-of-the-mill recession, the report notes.