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Covid-19 could see a declining trend by mid-September: A mathematical analysis

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NEW DELHI : Covid-19 pandemic in the country could see a declining trend by mid of September this year, according to the findings of mathematical analysis by Union Health Ministry officials.The study has pointed out that when the number of infected is equal to the number of removed patients, the coefficient will reach 100 per cent threshold and the epidemic will be extinguished.This means that the transmission of the virus has more or less stopped, stated the study.Researchers have used the methodology- Bailey's Relative Removal Rate (BMRRR) or Bailey's Model on the secondary data of the cumulative number of total COVID-19 cases in India from March 1 to May 19.The analysis has been published in the latest issue of the online journal-.

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