The exact day when there will be deaths from coronavirus has been predicted in an American study looking into the longevity of the pandemic.
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), an independent part of the University of Washington, has been tracking cases, hospital admissions and deaths in America.
But it recently looked at other countries affected by the pandemic. The current UK death toll officially is 33,186 but the real figure is widely thought to be more than 40,000.
The IHME builds statistical models of how the disease spreads, and factors in the current rate of decline in cases due to social distancing and other measures.