Capping the size of India’s stimulus package at 2.5% of GDP or less would not serve India well. We ought to focus on what’s needed to revive the economy—and arrange funds for it As the country begins a phased withdrawal from its lockdown, extended for a fortnight with a maze of rules designed to ease curbs in various zones colour-coded by corona risk, it is time to accept that the odds of averting a covid contraction of the economy this year have also lengthened.
We are in for the long haul, major uncertainty clouds the outlook, risks are hard to price, and our recovery in output will be slow.
Given the intricacy of production networks and the complex easing of restrictions, one cannot count on a smooth run ahead. In such circumstances,