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From pandemic to endemic: Global experts seeing ‘gradual evolution’ of COVID-19

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Delta variant surge eases in many regions of the world, scientists are charting when, and where, COVID-19 will transition to an endemic disease in 2022 and beyond, according to Reuters interviews with over a dozen leading disease experts.They expect that the first countries to emerge from the pandemic will have had some combination of high rates of vaccination and natural immunity among people who were infected with the coronavirus, such as the United States, the UK, Portugal and India.

But they warn that SARS-CoV-2 remains an unpredictable virus that is mutating as it spreads through unvaccinated populations.None would completely rule out what some called a “doomsday scenario,” in which the virus mutates to the point that it evades.

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COVID-19
United States
United States
Cases: 46 252 513
Deaths: 750 423
Recovered: 0
India
India
Cases: 34 321 025
Deaths: 459 652
Recovered: 0
Brazil
Brazil
Cases: 21 835 785
Deaths: 608 235
Recovered: 0
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
Cases: 9 215 683
Deaths: 141 607
Recovered: 0
Russia
Russia
Cases: 8 494 589
Deaths: 237 619
Recovered: 0
Detail statistic
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