A team of four doctors in the armed forces have produced a mathematical model of six differential equations to make projections about the pandemic Not that it’s surprising, but there’s so much making the rounds about corona that it’s hard to keep up.
Or to make sense of it all. India’s numbers, or at least the ones we have, are rising, but the growth rate has been generally declining through April.
It’s important to consider the growth rate, for the absolute growth numbers continue to trend upwards. Does the decline suggest the success of the lockdown?
Or have we not tested enough people? Is wider testing effective? How and whom should we test? What effect will an order of magnitude more testing—if we can achieve it —have on the number of