The best strategy is to stand where you have been standing in the past Gerd Gigerenzer, director of the Harding Center for Risk Literacy, Berlin, reminds us of the difference between risk and uncertainty.
In the case of risk, all alternatives, consequences and probabilities are known. So one is able to quantify risk and predict its outcomes with some level of confidence.
In uncertain worlds, much-needed information is unknown or unknowable. So quantifying any uncertainty, more so quantifying a radical uncertainty, something that author Nassim Nicholas Taleb described as a black swan event, and its outcomes is near impossible.